0x110fa9ce00b8d6abf98b0b4a801b73f3162f07b8
0x110fa9ce00b8d6abf98b0b4a801b73f3162f07b8
- Realised P&L
- $10.75
- Volume
- $335.78
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $15.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.400US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 05:43 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:04 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:56 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 09:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 01:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:43 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:39 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:39 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:39 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:32 | Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:49 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |