PolyBot

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Traders

Ning0049

0x110e6dbba2d9130dd301952dedea93f125075db1

Realised P&L
$118.35
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$445.05

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3080.730$182.88+$105.66
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7180.992$69.07+$19.07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5970.515$30.22−$4.78
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.8500.978$23.00+$3.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8700.997$22.92+$2.92
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.7700.850$22.08+$2.08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7850.735$18.73−$1.27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7111.000$14.06+$4.06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7880.945$11.99+$1.99
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.8800.996$11.31+$1.31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7800.850$10.90+$0.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.6890.725$10.53+$0.53
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6600.705$5.34+$0.34
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.7010.996$4.27+$1.27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · Yes0.5000.405$4.05−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:46Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
11-01 05:44Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
11-01 05:38Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.7005195989$3.00
11-01 05:37Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.5851239429$6.00
11-01 05:36Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.4951456171$10.00
10-27 13:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
10-27 13:16Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-27 01:03Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-27 01:03Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
10-26 12:33US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-26 12:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
10-26 12:32Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.659999963$5.00
10-26 12:26US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-25 06:55Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-25 01:47Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.7920792079$5.00