PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skery

0x11076705638445af0b32c4bc425736feb2d86815

Realised P&L
$574.13
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$179.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0260.105$120.39+$90.88
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? · Yes0.0360.166$59.39+$46.51
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$7.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?SELL0.73$385.86
09-18 14:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?SELL0.5417807872$100.61
09-17 22:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?BUY0.036$12.88
09-17 22:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?BUY0.014$10.00
09-16 10:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0257383428$29.51
01-28 22:53Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY0.001$7.00
01-28 22:53Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY0.0019997429$7.00
01-28 22:51Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY0.012$30.00