PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

eventmy

0x110559143b7d2189fed7dc470217a310ede3aa15

Realised P&L
$-26.38
Volume
$47.5k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$105.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11? · No0.9990.990$93.15−$0.85
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9990.999$11.87−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 15? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.44
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.35
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata · Rinky Hijikata0.2900.000$0.00−$2.43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 21? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.17
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims) · Yi Sak Lee0.3700.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 19? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.79
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves · Trail Blazers0.2800.000$0.00−$4.50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage · HULIGANI0.1220.000$0.00−$2.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 23:51Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11?BUY0.999$94.00
09-30 21:20Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.9989999677$30.00
08-14 09:47Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.9948902805$106.00
08-14 09:41Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.1216128707$2.90
07-17 08:20Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 13 above $6.00?BUY0.999$87.00
07-17 08:16Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.719999982$8.00
06-19 12:50Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?BUY0.999$105.90
05-31 07:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.9979999988$65.60
05-31 07:26Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.64$7.80
05-30 07:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?BUY0.999$73.42
05-30 07:18Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.991$72.92
05-30 07:01Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.992$73.00
05-30 06:56UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.3699999531$4.50
05-30 06:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 31?BUY0.999$13.80
05-29 07:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.999$84.41