po8730092312
0x110360341e4c6f249b00f838a42ed4804495b468
- Realised P&L
- $-56.34
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $12.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.56at 0.059Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$10.53at 0.087Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$9.73at 0.780Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$8.11at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$8.09at 0.110Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Peace" during press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 05:39 | Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? | BUY | 0.4405631173 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 17:30 | Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $1.97 |
| 04-16 17:30 | Will Trump say "Regulation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $0.97 |
| 04-16 17:26 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $0.95 |
| 04-16 17:20 | Will Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.95 |
| 04-16 17:14 | Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.95 |
| 04-15 08:44 | Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 20:22 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.9929999564 | $18.00 |
| 04-12 15:01 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 08:56 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.9349996914 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |
| 04-09 13:50 | Will Mark Rutte say "The President" during his speech on April 9? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 13:49 | Will Mark Rutte say "Trump" 2+ times during his speech on April 9? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 13:49 | Will Mark Rutte say "NATO" 3+ times during his speech on April 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |