PolyBot

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Traders

choohkz23

0x10fbc3d2421e002f269089d15be6a56ce6ffc66c

Realised P&L
$22.5k
Volume
$14.55M
Markets traded
910
Open portfolio
$51.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded910
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5750.815$19.9k+$5.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7230.905$13.8k+$2.8k
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.7610.941$5.8k+$1.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6640.935$4.5k+$1.3k
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.6480.982$2.4k+$804.48
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.755$2.2k+$358.45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4220.305$1.8k$684.07
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.989$406.25+$57.10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.945$271.77+$58.96
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8020.961$124.86+$20.61
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0630.040$80.62$47.93
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.966$44.01+$13.47
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.980$29.39+$6.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4590.055$12.93$94.97
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$10.03$86.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$10.0k
09-11 13:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$12.6k
09-11 13:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$20.3k
06-28 01:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.84$3.0k
06-28 01:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.982$2.0k
06-19 21:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.91$91.00
06-19 02:33Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$935.33
06-19 02:33Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$72.53
06-19 02:33Starmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY0.78$332.26
06-17 19:12Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?BUY0.9427308429$98.42
06-17 19:12Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during June Press Conference?BUY0.89$138.84
06-17 19:11Will Warsh say "Independence" during June Press Conference?BUY0.8139880952$547.00
06-17 19:11Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?BUY0.9581592397$654.30
06-17 19:11Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?BUY0.9888282703$63.80
06-17 19:11Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?BUY0.9337073015$117.26