0x10fB5D602cC84DF1Df22a8e846920a08D6Ae0AA1-1779103334185
0x10fb5d602cc84df1df22a8e846920a08d6ae0aa1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.35
- Volume
- $289.96
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $10.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.890 | $4.45 | −$0.15 |
| Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.290 | $2.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.821 | 0.836 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.095 | $1.23 | −$2.77 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.490 | 0.022 | $0.23 | −$4.77 |
| Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.38at 0.239Ebola case in the US by June 30?
- +$1.46at 0.093Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
- +$0.44at 0.900US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:29 | Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 22:23 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8209999795 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 15:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999998425 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 15:52 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 07-04 17:23 | Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 06-14 18:17 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.1243865607 | $6.89 |
| 06-02 14:48 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 00:12 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.82 |
| 05-20 21:18 | Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 09:15 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $4.00 |
| 05-19 22:25 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 22:23 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999842 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 18:05 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0903120462 | $5.00 |