PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x10f46954C11f9B6B40cB0a390eFAB28032D27728-1774024809937

0x10f46954c11f9b6b40cb0a390efab28032d27728

Realised P&L
$-8.2k
Volume
$225.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5400.550$1.5k+$28.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.525$524.99$35.00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.335$387.70$52.08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3500.325$166.42$12.80
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.2810.055$73.18$300.46
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$2.2k
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$921.16
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00$534.00
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$491.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$6.3k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$1.5k
Eric Swalwell charged by May 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$34.30
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00$11.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 22:38Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?BUY0.056$31.76
06-01 16:53Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.22$440.00
06-01 15:51Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.22$528.00
05-31 00:52Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.5k
05-31 00:37Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.0k
05-31 00:16Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.0k
05-31 00:08Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.8k
05-31 00:04Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.0k
05-31 00:03Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.0k
05-30 23:56Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$1.0k
05-30 23:55Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.24$528.00
05-30 23:27Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.54$1.5k
05-30 23:17Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.38$76.00
05-30 22:53Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$176.56
05-30 21:20Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?BUY0.32$73.64