0x10f46954C11f9B6B40cB0a390eFAB28032D27728-1774024809937
0x10f46954c11f9b6b40cb0a390efab28032d27728
- Realised P&L
- $-8.2k
- Volume
- $225.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.3kat 0.479US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.326Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.605US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$84.00at 0.790Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 22:38 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BUY | 0.056 | $31.76 |
| 06-01 16:53 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 06-01 15:51 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.22 | $528.00 |
| 05-31 00:52 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.5k |
| 05-31 00:37 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.0k |
| 05-31 00:16 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.0k |
| 05-31 00:08 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.8k |
| 05-31 00:04 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.0k |
| 05-31 00:03 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.0k |
| 05-30 23:56 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.0k |
| 05-30 23:55 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $528.00 |
| 05-30 23:27 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.5k |
| 05-30 23:17 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 05-30 22:53 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $176.56 |
| 05-30 21:20 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $73.64 |