PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SportsNflGames

0x10e4e2a86cb1b845f1162b71a514f52e11dc78cd

Realised P&L
$8.29
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$9.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · No0.8300.930$2.70+$0.29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8800.980$2.16+$0.22
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.930$1.88+$0.10
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8850.910$1.50+$0.04
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.9790.905$1.47−$0.12
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva · Linda Klimovicova0.7800.000$0.00−$1.49
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$1.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 09:26Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?BUY0.8$2.03
10-15 12:34Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.7599999169$1.83
10-05 07:43Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.72$2.07
09-25 09:52Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?BUY0.9789999969$1.59
09-14 09:55Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8699999949$1.69
09-04 10:21Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?BUY0.8129995489$1.73
08-21 08:53Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.9799998133$1.68
08-11 12:09Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8846070885$1.46
08-04 11:53Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.7799999372$1.49
08-04 11:52Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?SELL0.407$0.59
07-27 08:11T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs TanzaniaBUY0.7899999416$1.76
07-20 11:41Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?BUY0.9389999857$1.38
07-13 09:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9429995392$1.68
07-13 09:44Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.69$1.43
07-05 14:22Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.8799999615$1.83