SportsNflGames
0x10e4e2a86cb1b845f1162b71a514f52e11dc78cd
- Realised P&L
- $8.29
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $9.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.930 | $2.70 | +$0.29 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.980 | $2.16 | +$0.22 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.930 | $1.88 | +$0.10 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.885 | 0.910 | $1.50 | +$0.04 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.905 | $1.47 | −$0.12 |
| Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva · Linda Klimovicova | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.22at 0.994Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?
- +$2.07at 0.732First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$1.48at 0.450Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$1.46at 0.570Orioles vs. Guardians
- +$1.40at 0.570Athletics vs. Nationals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 09:26 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.03 |
| 10-15 12:34 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.7599999169 | $1.83 |
| 10-05 07:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.07 |
| 09-25 09:52 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999969 | $1.59 |
| 09-14 09:55 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999949 | $1.69 |
| 09-04 10:21 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August? | BUY | 0.8129995489 | $1.73 |
| 08-21 08:53 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.9799998133 | $1.68 |
| 08-11 12:09 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8846070885 | $1.46 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.7799999372 | $1.49 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.407 | $0.59 |
| 07-27 08:11 | T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzania | BUY | 0.7899999416 | $1.76 |
| 07-20 11:41 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9389999857 | $1.38 |
| 07-13 09:44 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9429995392 | $1.68 |
| 07-13 09:44 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.43 |
| 07-05 14:22 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999615 | $1.83 |