Voidofhype
0x10e11caeb43aada2ddb56f3823297a5dfcc7aa05
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $5.52M
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $153.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.161Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
- +$2.3kat 0.221Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.632Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?
- +$1.1kat 0.191Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$831.90at 0.584Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 00:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.20 |
| 07-19 13:52 | Iran full airspace closure by July 21? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.16 |
| 07-13 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 13? | BUY | 0.0596621622 | $8.83 |
| 07-13 12:07 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 13? | BUY | 0.0585148247 | $1.97 |
| 07-13 12:05 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 07-12 15:33 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.1532361277 | $222.22 |
| 07-12 15:30 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 07-11 14:17 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.51 |
| 07-11 14:14 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | SELL | 0.1375 | $8.25 |
| 07-10 17:37 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.062526525 | $250.11 |
| 07-10 15:49 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.1222774936 | $91.07 |
| 07-10 15:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.0136098167 | $86.43 |
| 07-10 02:01 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.1486732174 | $85.49 |
| 07-09 23:45 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.1759223806 | $60.83 |
| 07-09 12:50 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $248.16 |