ajosss
0x10e0304482fa8f8d879447bb5de58040a71792e4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $262.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,110
- Open portfolio
- $75.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,110
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.87at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
- +$90.70at 0.329Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
- +$88.21at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 24?
- +$87.74at 0.543Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4?
- +$80.03at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9148909091 | $30.19 |
| 11-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 11-01 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 11-01 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9984031343 | $66.89 |
| 11-01 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.53 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $70.64 |
| 11-01 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.991 | $127.84 |
| 11-01 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $29.60 |
| 11-01 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $26.95 |
| 11-01 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.94 |
| 11-01 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9899030986 | $140.57 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9732482456 | $55.48 |
| 10-31 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 10-31 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.98 |