PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ajosss

0x10e0304482fa8f8d879447bb5de58040a71792e4

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$262.4k
Markets traded
2,110
Open portfolio
$75.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,110
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 2?BUY0.9148909091$30.19
11-01 23:09Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.999$30.97
11-01 22:32Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.999$66.93
11-01 20:41Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?BUY0.999$78.92
11-01 20:39Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.9984031343$66.89
11-01 17:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1?SELL0.999$27.53
11-01 16:27Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.995$70.64
11-01 15:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.991$127.84
11-01 12:32Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 1?BUY0.9866666667$29.60
11-01 12:13Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1?BUY0.978$26.95
11-01 10:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1?SELL0.999$56.94
11-01 10:33Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1?BUY0.9899030986$140.57
11-01 09:35Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 1?BUY0.9732482456$55.48
10-31 21:50Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 31?BUY0.996$19.92
10-31 21:49Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 31?SELL0.999$23.98