gurenus
0x10d7853322eceb2e73f3e386e03056ae688aeb3b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $209.9k
- Markets traded
- 660
- Open portfolio
- $373.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded660
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.524Prince Andrew released by February 19?
- +$181.71at 0.685Prince Andrew released by February 20?
- +$106.64at 0.974Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
- +$91.55at 0.667Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$90.87at 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:11 | Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 05:58 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0017834639 | $0.11 |
| 09-16 05:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0741942963 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 09:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.73 |
| 09-14 16:09 | Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.198019802 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:36 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-14 13:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:41 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.0136042699 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 06:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:14 | Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 06:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0837108063 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 13:15 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.04 |
| 09-12 12:25 | Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland? | BUY | 0.0434626502 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |