PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gurenus

0x10d7853322eceb2e73f3e386e03056ae688aeb3b

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$199.3k
Markets traded
586
Open portfolio
$182.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded586
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2000.275$41.25+$11.25
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? · No0.1800.370$41.09+$21.09
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? · No0.2500.555$30.80+$16.92
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.175$17.50+$2.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3800.290$15.26$4.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.140$14.00$1.00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.1200.120$12.00+$0.00
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? · No0.2300.160$10.43$4.57
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$4.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.00
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? · No0.0630.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet? · No0.0280.000$0.00$4.00
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$3.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:04Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.1380816729$26.61
08-01 11:39Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?BUY0.25$15.00
08-01 11:39Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
08-01 11:36Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?BUY0.1800947803$20.00
07-31 21:01Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0092802813$0.71
07-31 05:25Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.38
07-31 05:24Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?SELL0.13$2.12
07-30 10:48Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.86
07-29 19:01Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
07-29 15:29Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3$15.00
07-29 09:46Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1037735806$20.00
07-29 09:40Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999912$18.56
07-29 09:38Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?BUY0.606655268$15.00
07-25 18:55Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.09$5.40
07-24 16:18Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?BUY0.6$10.00
Trader gurenus · PolyBot