gurenus
0x10d7853322eceb2e73f3e386e03056ae688aeb3b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $199.3k
- Markets traded
- 586
- Open portfolio
- $182.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded586
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.524Prince Andrew released by February 19?
- +$181.71at 0.685Prince Andrew released by February 20?
- +$106.64at 0.974Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
- +$92.51at 0.915Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$91.55at 0.667Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:04 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.1380816729 | $26.61 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 11:36 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | BUY | 0.1800947803 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 21:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0092802813 | $0.71 |
| 07-31 05:25 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.38 |
| 07-31 05:24 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.12 |
| 07-30 10:48 | Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.86 |
| 07-29 19:01 | Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 15:29 | Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1037735806 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 09:40 | Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999912 | $18.56 |
| 07-29 09:38 | Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.606655268 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 18:55 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 07-24 16:18 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |