0x10d65e4dcf1901fd3786e135f19b141eafe7cc94
0x10d65e4dcf1901fd3786e135f19b141eafe7cc94
- Realised P&L
- $-138.26
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 656
- Open portfolio
- $4.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded656
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.095 | $3.06 | −$2.41 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.170 | $1.85 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.32at 0.271LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
- +$85.99at 0.357Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$61.96at 0.284LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner
- +$60.84at 0.494Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
- +$53.26at 0.274LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999958 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999505 | $4.84 |
| 09-23 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $4.83 |
| 09-23 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $4.91 |
| 09-23 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.629999982 | $4.90 |
| 09-23 05:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $4.81 |
| 09-23 04:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999661 | $4.87 |
| 09-23 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999958 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.77 |
| 09-23 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $4.81 |
| 09-23 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999914 | $4.86 |
| 09-23 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999886 | $4.78 |
| 09-23 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999572 | $4.88 |
| 09-23 04:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6348178138 | $4.90 |