PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x10C9da9C478345CbE4419dAf21CB31b4920f1696-1773090166847

0x10c9da9c478345cbe4419daf21cb31b4920f1696

Realised P&L
$366.12
Volume
$43.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$321.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.2250.069$150.70$343.29
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0240.049$128.21+$63.81
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6070.085$42.44$260.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00$260.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7000.000$0.00$280.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 10:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.889$88.90
04-08 11:07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.313$15.72
03-24 23:11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?SELL0.82$9.17
03-19 19:08US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.3$15.00
03-17 17:10Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.026$1.72
03-15 00:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.229$11.39
03-11 00:00US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.6990022495$6.99
03-11 00:00US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.6990022447$13.98
03-10 23:53US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.6991206774$55.93
03-10 23:52Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.7$35.00
03-10 23:31Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?BUY0.8$200.00
03-10 00:07US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.7197064699$122.35