vntr
0x10c825a860a25aab70218cd6a0d17d817faec0ee
- Realised P&L
- $-139.63
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.628 | 0.643 | $2.0k | +$46.92 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.748 | 0.745 | $1.3k | −$5.22 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.170 | $288.83 | −$87.88 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.30 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 3PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$403.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET · Up | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$278.26 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 5, 6PM ET · Up | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$411.51 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2PM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.69 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 8, 1PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$461.62 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.40 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.70 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 6, 11AM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.59 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.313Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
- +$1.0kat 0.399Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$686.46at 0.820Solana Up or Down - February 6, 9AM ET
- +$582.80at 0.460alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?
- +$252.84at 0.220Solana Up or Down - February 5, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:44 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $55.62 |
| 10-09 19:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7388418431 | $280.29 |
| 10-09 18:09 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1770832118 | $42.50 |
| 10-09 14:14 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24149075 | $96.60 |
| 10-09 13:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 12:59 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $132.00 |
| 10-08 21:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.643 | $75.23 |
| 10-07 23:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 15:46 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.399 | $39.90 |
| 09-09 13:14 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.97 |
| 09-09 13:13 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $31.20 |
| 09-09 13:11 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $52.80 |
| 09-09 01:02 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $574.67 |
| 09-09 00:35 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $522.50 |
| 09-09 00:30 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $500.00 |