PolyBot

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Traders

0x10c5e39aa75b05754e89722119486b5a2af33cb6

0x10c5e39aa75b05754e89722119486b5a2af33cb6

Realised P&L
$0.69
Volume
$104.01
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$21.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18? · No0.5000.830$1.66+$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18? · No0.4100.645$1.57+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 18? · No0.4400.585$1.33+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18? · No0.5900.775$1.31+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19? · No0.5100.625$1.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18? · No0.7700.880$1.14+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 18? · No0.5600.620$1.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19? · No0.8200.885$1.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19? · No0.6900.710$1.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18? · No0.6600.665$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 18? · Yes0.3800.370$0.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19? · No0.5500.535$0.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18? · No0.8000.750$0.94−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18? · No0.8200.760$0.93−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18? · No0.5600.485$0.87−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:51Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-18 09:47Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 18?SELL0.961$1.85
10-18 09:23Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-18 09:20Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?SELL0.11$0.32
10-18 06:22Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 18?SELL0.97$3.23
10-18 06:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-18 06:00Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?SELL0.2$0.33
10-18 04:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-18 04:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 18?SELL0.2$0.67
10-18 03:55Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-18 03:52Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18?SELL0.09$0.41
10-17 22:01Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-17 21:14Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?SELL0.88$2.51
10-17 15:36Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?BUY0.4099998975$1.00