biggis
0x10c246e321ec1f624fe052aeff8ae8b4186b7d37
- Realised P&L
- $0.09
- Volume
- $40.89
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $3.25 | −$0.02 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.925 | $1.14 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.27at 0.660Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.745Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.710NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.09at 0.490Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.14at 0.530Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 08:49 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999058 | $3.27 |
| 10-10 10:51 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.27 |
| 08-28 21:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299994955 | $1.02 |
| 08-28 12:31 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:01 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 11:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.01 |
| 08-28 11:54 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.01 |
| 08-28 06:44 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099995267 | $1.41 |
| 08-28 06:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.41 |
| 08-27 13:29 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999013 | $1.58 |
| 08-27 13:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.59 |
| 08-27 09:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999687 | $1.57 |
| 08-27 08:33 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.36 |
| 08-26 21:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 20:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999118 | $1.50 |