PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x10B30364936B03d26B3FD01a63D1f991454b40d4-1723051915288

0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$15.81M
Markets traded
647
Open portfolio
$14.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded647
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5990.555$7.8k$609.58
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9600.972$4.6k+$55.27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6100.295$885.00$945.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6600.230$460.00$860.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.3500.045$450.00$3.0k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5900.145$290.00$890.00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0650.021$214.00$436.00
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0800.049$57.83$37.56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$1.8k
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.1160.000$0.00$1.2k
Will France vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 22:30France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.439$702.40
07-18 22:28France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.22$4.4k
07-18 21:49France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.022$82.46
07-18 21:43France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.09$900.00
07-18 21:38France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.08$800.00
07-18 21:34Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.18$1.8k
07-18 21:34Spread: England (-3.5)BUY0.9483120359$16.0k
07-18 21:33France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.27$2.7k
07-15 20:39England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2425$970.00
07-14 22:11Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.96$9.6k
07-14 20:16Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.9564600571$669.52
07-12 22:36England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.45$1.8k
07-12 22:36Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.96$9.60
07-12 22:36Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.96$4.5k
07-12 17:00England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.45$450.00