PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x10AFD31F3C077935f64C7cD178D5B9Ed02b0B096-1779567277502

0x10afd31f3c077935f64c7cd178d5b9ed02b0b096

Realised P&L
$-17.24
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$1.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 15? · Yes0.0940.135$1.43+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.0944465433$1.00
08-10 03:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 10?BUY0.0390980383$1.30
08-10 03:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 10?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-10 03:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 10?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-09 06:56Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9?BUY0.3049179831$3.00
07-20 02:32Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20?BUY0.20999993$2.01
07-19 19:06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2549998508$1.00
07-19 13:01Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-19 13:01Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0150000001$5.00
07-19 13:00Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.259999948$3.00
07-18 20:56Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-18 20:55Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?BUY0.119999952$2.00
07-18 06:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?SELL0.2$1.78
07-18 02:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?BUY0.228969476$1.00
07-18 02:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?BUY0.2199998548$1.00