0x10AFD31F3C077935f64C7cD178D5B9Ed02b0B096-1779567277502
0x10afd31f3c077935f64c7cd178d5b9ed02b0b096
- Realised P&L
- $-17.24
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $1.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.135 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.97at 0.041Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$11.45at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$11.24at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?
- +$9.50at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?
- +$7.97at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0944465433 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.0390980383 | $1.30 |
| 08-10 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3049179831 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.20999993 | $2.01 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2549998508 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:01 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:01 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0150000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 13:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 20:56 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 20:55 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.78 |
| 07-18 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.228969476 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |