atkinsonbarbara
0x10ac3338a3bc88800805eb8a8ae081ef037dff89
- Realised P&L
- $-135.51
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $27.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 22? · No | 0.840 | 0.640 | $12.35 | −$3.86 |
| Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.873 | 0.928 | $7.83 | +$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22? · No | 0.820 | 0.820 | $7.37 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.640Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.44at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 4?
- +$0.27at 0.993Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
- +$0.18at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.17at 0.989Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:26 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.25 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.39 |
| 01-30 12:24 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999826 | $31.55 |
| 01-30 12:23 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.51 |
| 12-30 14:58 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.84 |
| 12-30 10:49 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999296 | $14.00 |
| 12-29 22:45 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.91 |
| 12-29 19:13 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.99899999 | $47.48 |
| 10-31 15:39 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.41 |
| 10-31 15:22 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.59 |
| 10-30 17:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.94 |
| 09-29 12:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.58 |
| 09-29 04:49 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $19.92 |
| 09-29 03:48 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $18.85 |
| 09-28 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.09 |