florin078
0x10a69b117041c3c8a606f8d7dfae394db39f2c1b
- Realised P&L
- $1.62
- Volume
- $94.73
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.770 | $6.89 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.295 | $3.54 | +$0.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.28at 0.381Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?
- +$0.54at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$-0.58at 0.596Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?
- +$-3.53at 0.943Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999821 | $6.80 |
| 09-23 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.56 | $6.71 |
| 09-23 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.56 |
| 09-23 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.5837043261 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.93 |
| 09-23 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.3696428281 | $4.50 |
| 09-23 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.60 |
| 09-23 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.9399999225 | $8.00 |