0x1093cb1e515b6cfe9b59a6e3742454575671e741
0x1093cb1e515b6cfe9b59a6e3742454575671e741
- Realised P&L
- $-4.81
- Volume
- $153.65
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.520 | $5.20 | +$3.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $3.31 | +$1.11 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.785 | $2.58 | +$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.37at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.90at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.43at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.92at 0.410Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.01at 0.689Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:35 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 11:01 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999178 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 00:59 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.20 |
| 09-10 07:42 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.20 |
| 09-09 02:59 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5599999185 | $2.20 |
| 09-08 14:15 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999752 | $2.20 |
| 09-08 04:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999258 | $2.20 |
| 09-03 12:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $2.20 |
| 09-02 15:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3099999112 | $2.20 |
| 09-02 00:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999605 | $2.20 |
| 09-01 10:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1? | BUY | 0.7099999387 | $2.20 |
| 08-23 09:54 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-22 22:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7799997944 | $2.20 |
| 08-22 00:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4699998932 | $2.20 |
| 08-21 15:47 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |