Wilhelminaruth
0x1093055db2628e672c85ea5304ccd0e44fb2bc45
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $30.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-49.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $10.19 | +$3.26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1? · No | 0.693 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$3.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? · No | 0.632 | 0.615 | $5.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.480 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
| Northwestern State Demons vs. Lamar Cardinals · Lamar Cardinals | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) · Heat | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.28 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) · Magic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C · RUSTEC | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.721 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.520Spread: Magic (-15.5)
- +$2.82at 0.685Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?
- +$2.70at 0.818Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson
- +$2.47at 0.753Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?
- +$2.01at 0.802Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.6319999924 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.4599999563 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.93 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.693 | $6.93 |
| 10-10 06:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-10 06:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $6.00 |
| 10-10 06:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 10:36 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999842 | $8.32 |
| 09-14 10:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 10:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8409999897 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 11:00 | Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson | BUY | 0.8099999932 | $12.00 |
| 06-10 11:06 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 09:58 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.7213438697 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 09:58 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 12:06 | Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $13.86 |