Cuccuc2026
0x108a7782120894a58eb308e61da5c01c242d8159
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $540.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,820
- Open portfolio
- $151.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,820
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.155 | $66.66 | +$11.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.060 | $30.08 | +$2.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.720 | $18.49 | +$9.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.275 | $17.88 | +$1.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.295 | $15.69 | +$3.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.020 | $2.07 | −$1.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.025 | $0.63 | −$1.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.004 | $0.10 | −$4.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$440.09at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 15?
- +$269.38at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
- +$251.48at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?
- +$233.97at 0.227Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?
- +$227.62at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 09-20 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.08075 | $1.61 |
| 09-20 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.0796056287 | $2.18 |
| 09-20 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.21 |
| 09-20 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.93 |
| 09-20 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.80 |
| 09-20 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.0662534791 | $1.33 |
| 09-20 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.997 | $21.70 |
| 09-20 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9207920765 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9159423696 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.0752727273 | $2.07 |