Cuccuc2026
0x108a7782120894a58eb308e61da5c01c242d8159
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $364.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,606
- Open portfolio
- $7.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,606
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.195 | $5.85 | +$0.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.016 | $0.57 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.40 | −$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.63at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
- +$251.69at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?
- +$236.48at 0.219Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?
- +$223.00at 0.009Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$187.01at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.71 |
| 08-05 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 08-05 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.32 |
| 08-05 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.72 |
| 08-05 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 08-05 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.08 |
| 08-05 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.36 |
| 08-05 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.42 |
| 08-05 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.1062776877 | $1.97 |
| 08-05 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1401868019 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.80 |
| 08-05 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.8108643042 | $9.38 |