PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mln19

0x108807360cccbe07e85047bda011b3187554b813

Realised P&L
$569.60
Volume
$156.3k
Markets traded
682
Open portfolio
$323.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded682
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0310.144$33.30+$26.19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0640.122$24.50+$11.80
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5430.525$23.63$0.82
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · No0.5460.770$18.28+$5.31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0700.086$17.10+$3.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5230.555$16.65+$0.95
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0350.070$16.34+$7.98
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0450.125$16.29+$10.41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.2800.325$16.25+$2.25
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.0970.235$13.92+$8.17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.135$13.50+$0.50
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0580.049$13.21$2.58
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0370.043$13.02+$2.02
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0290.065$12.41+$6.81
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2350.210$10.62$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 09:36Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.03$1.02
07-21 10:35Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.0059$0.59
07-21 10:34Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.001$0.10
07-21 10:33Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.35$3.55
07-21 10:32Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.32$4.97
07-21 10:30Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.66$6.60
07-21 10:29Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.004$0.40
07-21 10:29Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.28$30.80
07-21 10:28Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF?SELL0.001616598$0.09
07-21 10:27Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.41$13.09
07-21 10:25Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.44$63.65
07-21 10:25Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.47$26.32
07-21 10:24Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.8$132.00
07-20 11:11Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.08$2.40
07-20 11:10Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.067$2.68