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Traders

mln19

0x108807360cccbe07e85047bda011b3187554b813

Realised P&L
$549.94
Volume
$152.8k
Markets traded
687
Open portfolio
$226.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded687
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.1000.450$41.16+$32.01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5350.295$20.65−$16.80
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.2800.295$14.75+$0.75
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.1710.290$14.50+$5.96
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0630.060$12.10−$0.60
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0370.038$11.55+$0.55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0700.057$11.30−$2.80
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0780.118$9.29+$3.16
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0310.040$9.13+$2.02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4900.295$8.85−$5.85
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5230.285$8.55−$7.15
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0450.066$8.54+$2.66
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.075$7.50−$5.50
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0350.029$6.94−$1.43
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0460.018$6.90−$10.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 11:46Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.014$0.66
08-14 06:46Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$14.70
08-13 10:53Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.08$8.00
08-11 19:21Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0199341429$1.28
08-06 11:43Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.170854$8.54
08-06 11:39Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$13.00
07-29 09:36Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.03$1.02
07-21 10:35Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.0059$0.59
07-21 10:34Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.001$0.10
07-21 10:33Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.35$3.55
07-21 10:32Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.32$4.97
07-21 10:30Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.66$6.60
07-21 10:29Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.004$0.40
07-21 10:29Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.28$30.80
07-21 10:28Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF?SELL0.001616598$0.09
Trader mln19 · PolyBot Pro