ilainahum
0x10833cad9aab5b4b093fb7201cd11532b984ef7e
- Realised P&L
- $94.36
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $127.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.355 | $94.26 | +$17.26 |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.022 | $22.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.105 | $10.76 | −$7.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.39at 0.258Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$22.55at 0.470Timberwolves vs. Heat
- +$0.85at 0.550Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$-0.41at 0.302Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$-0.62at 0.168Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:16 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $7.90 |
| 10-30 17:15 | BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 17:12 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 21:06 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.38 |
| 10-28 07:32 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.1756097561 | $18.00 |
| 10-28 07:29 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $19.00 |
| 10-27 23:04 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 23:03 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1369999967 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 18:48 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26? | SELL | 0.0036698635 | $0.33 |
| 10-26 11:23 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 10:47 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.4399999982 | $39.00 |
| 10-26 05:22 | Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 01:17 | Clippers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 20:01 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.75 |