PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

s4444d

0x107e6b816a323ee25c6c68551d0cbd25552c05c4

Realised P&L
$-4.63
Volume
$523.85
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$0.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? · Yes0.2000.185$0.18−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:13Will Amazon say "Robotic / Robotics" during earnings call?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-29 12:13Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-29 08:20Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?BUY0.381999861$1.00
10-28 20:12Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2400 and $4.2499 on October 29?BUY0.001$0.42
10-28 16:23Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-28 08:15Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-27 20:18Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-27 16:16Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-26 20:24Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-26 20:24Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-26 08:11Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-25 13:46Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-25 13:46Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.32$1.00
10-25 13:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0599999988$1.00