0x107af239d970326dc7c711d3b57e5ba54c4e1809
- Realised P&L
- $47.91
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $17.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.450 | 1.000 | $15.56 | +$8.56 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? · No | 0.056 | 0.031 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.29at 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.07at 0.083Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.07at 0.021Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.59at 0.026Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-5.02at 0.281US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:08 | Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:03 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.0899999982 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 07:49 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |
| 06-21 18:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1429999896 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 22:06 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 22:06 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 22:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 22:00 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.50 |
| 06-14 21:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1639999499 | $2.50 |
| 06-14 21:58 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 14:30 | President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | BUY | 0.0658144195 | $10.00 |