PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x107af239d970326dc7c711d3b57e5ba54c4e1809

Realised P&L
$47.91
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$17.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.4501.000$15.56+$8.56
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.0900.045$1.50$1.50
Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? · No0.0560.031$0.55$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 00:08Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September?BUY0.0559999996$1.00
09-15 00:03Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?BUY0.0899999982$3.00
09-13 07:49Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999871$7.00
06-21 18:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1429999896$10.00
06-14 22:06Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$2.00
06-14 22:06Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$2.00
06-14 22:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-14 22:00Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$2.50
06-14 21:59Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1639999499$2.50
06-14 21:58Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999979$10.00
06-11 14:30President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?BUY0.0658144195$10.00