0x107a927380e9e07a7df0fa4d29f9d72d96f52669
0x107a927380e9e07a7df0fa4d29f9d72d96f52669
- Realised P&L
- $15.59
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $16.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.007 | $5.95 | −$6.95 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.475 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.07at 0.491Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$8.77at 0.532Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?
- +$5.08at 0.553Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$2.22at 0.656Will France win on 2026-09-25?
- +$1.58at 0.728Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:31 | Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0162679253 | $12.90 |
| 10-01 02:30 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0041838203 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 01:49 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 01:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 07:13 | Set Handicap: Rinko Matsuda (-1.5) vs Katarzyna Kawa (+1.5) | BUY | 0.0295727759 | $5.33 |
| 09-27 06:53 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.38 |
| 09-27 06:36 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999824 | $5.91 |
| 09-27 06:35 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 06:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4599999829 | $11.81 |
| 09-25 19:56 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 19:54 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |