0x104dcddf8a7353afca1daa4b0da2b4c0bf605abb-1792255608122
0x104dcddf8a7353afca1daa4b0da2b4c0bf605abb
- Realised P&L
- $-545.07
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,434
- Open portfolio
- $53.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,434
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.56at 0.104Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$153.57at 0.109Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$128.23at 0.103Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$103.87at 0.100Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$100.83at 0.098Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.68 | $5.44 |
| 11-02 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.122 | $3.05 |
| 11-02 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.77 |
| 11-02 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.21 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.11 |
| 11-02 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.14 |
| 11-02 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.37 |
| 11-02 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.11 |
| 11-02 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.12 |
| 11-02 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.18 |
| 11-02 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2161694291 | $1.17 |
| 11-02 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6409125 | $5.13 |
| 11-02 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.64 |
| 11-02 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1967619392 | $5.44 |