0x104c41acffa41798edf2ea035af15ccb657694b5
0x104c41acffa41798edf2ea035af15ccb657694b5
- Realised P&L
- $16.54
- Volume
- $656.76
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $13.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.275 | $3.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $2.07 | −$0.13 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 France? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.065 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 1 Ukraine? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Türkiye vs. Italy: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.050 | $1.43 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.48at 0.301Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?
- +$11.86at 0.312Portugal leading at halftime?
- +$9.29at 0.438Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$6.02at 0.470Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
- +$3.46at 0.605Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:02 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 15:01 | Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 1 Ukraine? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 09:06 | Türkiye vs. Italy: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 09:03 | Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 France? | BUY | 0.0669999984 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.0070885789 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 20:20 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 18:34 | Norway vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 16:40 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 16:39 | Portugal leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 06:19 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 06:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2599999835 | $2.20 |
| 09-26 20:27 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.22 |
| 09-26 15:16 | Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.0579999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 12:21 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |