PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x104708af98f0be0922a7eac61650c8a53656d062

Realised P&L
$-23.94
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$51.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.5401.000$16.22+$7.46
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.2600.205$8.99$2.41
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $80k0.3401.000$8.82+$5.82
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · No0.3851.000$5.00+$3.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? · No0.6141.000$4.95+$1.91
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes0.6100.589$2.94$0.10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.8200.525$2.63$1.48
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.075$0.98$5.02
Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0590.013$0.33$1.17
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0280.002$0.16$2.81
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0010.000$0.00$0.38
Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$2.33
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.33
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.53
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.47

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 23:50Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?BUY0.36$3.04
04-02 23:50Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.26$3.04
04-02 23:50Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?BUY0.36$3.04
04-02 23:50Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.01$0.75
04-02 23:50Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.26$3.04
04-02 23:50Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?BUY0.68$3.33
04-02 23:50Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?BUY0.36$3.04
04-02 23:50Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.26$2.28
04-02 23:49Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.26$3.04
04-02 23:49Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?BUY0.024$0.12
04-02 23:49Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?BUY0.61$3.05
04-02 23:49Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
04-02 23:49Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.002$0.15
04-02 22:23Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.001$0.07
04-02 22:23Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.017$1.28