PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

aapang

0x104171232971a6db8cf938f76fdbebbb81c5f452

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$9.56M
Markets traded
7,164
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,164
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.970$4.8k+$4.4k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? · Yes0.0911.000$2.0k+$1.8k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.015$75.00$379.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 3? · Yes0.5000.001$2.50$2.5k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0910.001$2.50$452.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 13? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$9.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 25? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$44.90
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 28? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$27.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 02:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?SELL0.112$2.02
07-30 02:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?SELL0.001$0.54
07-26 11:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?SELL0.001$0.81
07-24 04:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?SELL0.001$0.05
07-23 11:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 24?SELL0.001$0.00
07-23 05:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?SELL0.002$0.01
07-23 05:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?SELL0.001$0.72
07-23 05:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?SELL0.001$0.59
07-22 22:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?SELL0.00122141$2.44
07-22 02:22Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 23?SELL0.001$0.02
07-22 00:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?BUY0.999$280.28
07-21 22:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?SELL0.001$0.24
07-21 01:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?SELL0.0017052519$1.59
07-21 00:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?SELL0.001$0.70
07-20 15:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?SELL0.001$0.41