aapang
0x104171232971a6db8cf938f76fdbebbb81c5f452
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $9.97M
- Markets traded
- 7,332
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,332
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.490Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
- +$19.4kat 0.580Celtics vs. Nuggets
- +$18.9kat 0.470Spread: Hornets (-13.5)
- +$18.2kat 0.422Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
- +$18.2kat 0.092Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.61 |
| 09-15 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 09-14 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 09-14 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-12 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 09-12 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.19 |
| 09-12 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-12 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.21 |
| 09-12 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.16 |
| 09-12 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.30 |
| 09-11 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.85 |
| 09-11 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 09-11 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.96 |
| 09-10 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |