aapang
0x104171232971a6db8cf938f76fdbebbb81c5f452
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $9.56M
- Markets traded
- 7,164
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,164
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.490Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
- +$19.4kat 0.580Celtics vs. Nuggets
- +$19.0kat 0.397Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
- +$19.0kat 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?
- +$18.9kat 0.470Spread: Hornets (-13.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.112 | $2.02 |
| 07-30 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.54 |
| 07-26 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.81 |
| 07-24 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-23 11:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-23 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-23 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.72 |
| 07-23 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.59 |
| 07-22 22:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.00122141 | $2.44 |
| 07-22 02:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-22 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $280.28 |
| 07-21 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 07-21 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.0017052519 | $1.59 |
| 07-21 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.70 |
| 07-20 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.41 |