PolyBot

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Traders

aapang

0x104171232971a6db8cf938f76fdbebbb81c5f452

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$10.18M
Markets traded
7,525
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,525
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.5381.000$2.1k+$950.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.510$1.5k+$1.4k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.370$1.1k+$960.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.100$300.00+$150.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.029$85.50−$64.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.005$15.00−$135.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.002$6.00−$144.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on November 3? · Yes0.0500.002$4.50−$145.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.001$1.50−$148.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.001$1.50−$148.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on November 3? · Yes0.5000.001$1.50−$1.5k
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.001$1.50−$148.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? · Yes0.0500.001$0.50−$49.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on November 2? · Yes0.0500.001$0.50−$49.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? · Yes0.0500.001$0.50−$49.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 09:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.34
11-02 09:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.999$1.0k
11-01 05:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 1?SELL0.0010186829$0.37
11-01 04:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?BUY0.998$49.90
11-01 04:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.98
11-01 02:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.72
11-01 01:48Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 208.5BUY0.999$1.0k
11-01 01:40Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5BUY0.999$101.90
11-01 01:38Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5BUY0.98$49.00
11-01 01:34Cavaliers vs. BucksBUY0.994$995.89
10-31 23:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?BUY0.999$1.3k
10-31 23:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.06
10-31 04:48Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5BUY0.999$5.00
10-31 04:48Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5BUY0.999$5.00
10-31 04:44Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5BUY0.999$79.92