aapang
0x104171232971a6db8cf938f76fdbebbb81c5f452
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $10.18M
- Markets traded
- 7,525
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,525
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.490Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
- +$19.4kat 0.580Celtics vs. Nuggets
- +$19.0kat 0.397Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
- +$19.0kat 0.051Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
- +$19.0kat 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.34 |
| 11-02 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0010186829 | $0.37 |
| 11-01 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 11-01 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.72 |
| 11-01 01:48 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 208.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 01:40 | Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $101.90 |
| 11-01 01:38 | Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 01:34 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.994 | $995.89 |
| 10-31 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-31 04:48 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 04:48 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 04:44 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |