PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x103f41Cb439222A8B60Bf062834c2650DE16C0F2-1772096083904

0x103f41cb439222a8b60bf062834c2650de16c0f2

Realised P&L
$54.55
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$12.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.038$12.67−$37.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 15:46Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.22$84.61
03-04 14:30Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
03-04 09:07Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?SELL0.61$97.10
03-03 15:36Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY0.6282171148$100.00
03-03 15:35Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?SELL0.3590946091$97.05
03-03 10:17Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?BUY0.369999998$100.00
03-01 14:42Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.5$90.77
03-01 10:39Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY0.64$100.00
03-01 10:35Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.16$20.00
03-01 10:34Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.4158678227$166.44
02-28 18:41Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.5508843117$100.00
02-28 18:40Khamenei seen in public by March 14?SELL0.43$102.09
02-28 18:21Khamenei seen in public by March 14?BUY0.7794676797$125.00
02-28 18:18Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.625$125.00
02-28 18:11Khamenei seen in public by March 14?BUY0.8693512295$67.00