0x103e420F81878ACF5B7f9eA48Ec50B15687bf7B7-1771897096235
0x103e420f81878acf5b7f9ea48ec50b15687bf7b7
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $143.4k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $209.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $208.99 | +$185.99 |
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$19.89 |
| Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$21.89 |
| Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$23.89 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$58.89 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$962.14at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$645.73at 0.140Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?
- +$620.74at 0.048Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$489.71at 0.021Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$365.35at 0.123Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:24 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2699999985 | $29.00 |
| 10-06 12:24 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 10-06 12:24 | Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999991 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 12:23 | Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.1 | $11.00 |
| 10-06 10:10 | Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999991 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 10:07 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 10:07 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999991 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 10:06 | Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.1 | $11.00 |
| 10-06 10:05 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 10:05 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.22 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.86 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.01 | $22.22 |
| 07-19 19:58 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.0010245399 | $2.28 |
| 07-19 19:58 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.0087273513 | $14.84 |