0x1034088678e5747tzu57473
0x103404b7b6226dd1bf3ed0112895f9a3f546be24
- Realised P&L
- $95.09
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 870
- Open portfolio
- $31.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded870
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.62at 0.483Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$25.25at 0.333Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$23.76at 0.314Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$20.58at 0.216Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$18.00at 0.372Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:35 | Will Netanyahu say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 09-20 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9406 | $18.81 |
| 09-09 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.959 | $19.18 |
| 09-06 20:41 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-06 18:21 | Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-06 11:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-04 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-01 17:44 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-31 12:47 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.942 | $18.84 |
| 08-30 02:43 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.967 | $19.34 |
| 08-28 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-19 23:22 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 0 Nashville SC? | BUY | 0.9591510516 | $15.05 |
| 08-19 11:46 | Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 1 - 3 New York City FC? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.05 |
| 08-19 11:20 | Exact Score: Sporting Kansas City 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.07 |
| 08-19 07:46 | Exact Score: NEC 3 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.01 |