hakhdn
0x102f26c4ec7c01a74fa3bdc2d0e0b63dc4b57a56
- Realised P&L
- $-27.8k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 533
- Open portfolio
- $20.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded533
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.122Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.302Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$2.7kat 0.172Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
- +$2.6kat 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- +$2.4kat 0.278Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4438964198 | $40.00 |
| 10-20 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 15:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.2198282589 | $32.00 |
| 10-20 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.2004786325 | $23.46 |
| 10-20 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.2789999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $28.00 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999986 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $975.22 |
| 10-20 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $18.54 |
| 10-20 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $9.00 |
| 10-20 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $9.00 |