PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x102E291c86C71867C82BA95dA92F4E8D5F65aCE7-1767731346187

0x102e291c86c71867c82ba95da92f4e8d5f65ace7

Realised P&L
$-219.59
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$109.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.7900.785$39.25−$0.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.7200.710$28.40−$0.40
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9380.985$19.69+$0.93
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7800.972$19.44+$3.84
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1250.140$1.12+$0.12
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.025$0.83−$0.19
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0840.002$0.30−$16.50
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.003$0.25−$0.75
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.03
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.7770.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$7.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down0.4360.000$0.00−$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 01:12Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.72$28.80
10-12 01:10Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.79$39.50
10-10 15:26Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.52$52.00
10-09 13:25Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.18$36.00
10-06 01:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.49$4.90
10-06 01:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.12$1.20
10-06 01:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.35$3.50
10-06 01:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
10-06 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.52$5.20
10-05 21:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.52$5.20
10-05 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.08$0.80
10-05 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3$3.00
10-05 20:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.29$2.90
10-05 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSELL0.59$5.90
10-05 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.28$2.80