AlexWinAAA
0x102d3088aa3e646f2c7f4fa41e32e116c580ff61
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $2.35M
- Markets traded
- 1,331
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,331
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.046Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?
- +$1.3kat 0.001Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.0kat 0.409Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$908.84at 0.316Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
- +$751.46at 0.031Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:59 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.42 | $63.00 |
| 10-29 15:13 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.54 | $324.00 |
| 10-29 15:13 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $360.00 |
| 10-29 14:49 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5334191667 | $320.05 |
| 10-29 09:26 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-29 08:08 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | BUY | 0.4366666667 | $26.20 |
| 10-29 06:24 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | BUY | 0.3272727273 | $18.00 |
| 10-28 20:58 | Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $59.68 |
| 10-28 19:13 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 53.0 or higher? | BUY | 0.0966666667 | $5.80 |
| 10-28 19:12 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | BUY | 0.2266644452 | $13.60 |
| 10-28 19:12 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-28 12:49 | Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 10-28 09:12 | Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.58 | $34.80 |
| 10-28 07:38 | Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-26 17:00 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.115917193 | $33.40 |