PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ughfv

0x1026079cadcc757fcd0147154ccd84976e21b7af

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$42.5k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.5900.990$891.00+$360.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.6800.961$365.18+$106.78
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7800.770$292.60−$3.80
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.875$280.00−$4.80
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$2.5k
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 02:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.68$258.40
05-24 11:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$209.30
04-26 01:54Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.59$531.00
04-07 02:03Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.799$830.96
03-27 12:28Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.801$833.04
03-21 09:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.65$13.92
03-19 07:52Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?SELL0.64$640.00
03-13 01:42Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.81$3.4k
03-08 08:55Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?SELL0.53$164.13
03-08 07:42Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?SELL0.53$222.60
02-28 11:35Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.58$2.5k
01-24 08:05Ethereum Up or Down on January 24?BUY0.65$1.6k