Hunky-dory
0x1024b1e479fa7b3da8aaf5670d3fe87a993f9651
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $363.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,662
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,662
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.045 | $597.66 | +$88.86 |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.075 | $590.00 | +$63.02 |
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.026 | $438.77 | −$82.74 |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.054 | $398.82 | +$39.17 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.028 | $279.24 | −$3.61 |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.028 | $276.09 | +$0.17 |
| Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.006 | $147.83 | +$60.40 |
| Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $120.45 | −$1.64 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.590 | 0.585 | $29.75 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) · Celtics | 0.650 | 0.997 | $23.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.116 | $15.87 | +$2.27 |
| Oilers vs. Rangers · Oilers | 0.470 | 0.455 | $14.52 | −$0.48 |
| Senators vs. Ducks · Senators | 0.540 | 0.535 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.530 | 0.470 | $8.87 | −$1.13 |
| Utah vs. Flyers · Utah | 0.610 | 0.035 | $0.86 | −$14.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.084Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$2.7kat 0.317Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$1.2kat 0.483Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$1.1kat 0.532Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$1.1kat 0.333Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:59 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:20 | Senators vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:19 | Oilers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 22:17 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 22:16 | Nets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:49 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.054 | $21.60 |
| 11-01 12:48 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.054 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 12:48 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.054 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 12:46 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:46 | Wild vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Jets vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:41 | Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 18:15 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.048 | $48.00 |
| 10-30 18:15 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.048 | $48.00 |
| 10-30 17:49 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.12 |