stefangod
0x101ecc6d030795b4c8166ffffe85c1bad7d5d4da
- Realised P&L
- $-254.98
- Volume
- $180.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,344
- Open portfolio
- $137.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,344
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.16at 0.155US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$97.23at 0.450Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$78.03at 0.268Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
- +$76.48at 0.484Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
- +$68.07at 0.277Solana Up or Down - December 13, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:53 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.04 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.38 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.957 | $3.19 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $3.74 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.953 | $4.17 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $2.70 |
| 08-08 11:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.94 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.96 |
| 08-08 11:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.72 |
| 08-05 21:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.928 | $4.79 |
| 08-05 21:36 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.76 |
| 08-05 21:35 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.92 |
| 08-05 21:31 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.98 |
| 08-05 21:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.02 |
| 08-05 21:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.10 |