738925
0x100a50d9f27bc1a884f8a47accad209a9188c6ce
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $3.61M
- Markets traded
- 5,555
- Open portfolio
- $22.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,555
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.010Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
- +$2.9kat 0.020Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 25?
- +$2.2kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 18?
- +$2.0kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 27?
- +$2.0kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-06 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-06 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 08-06 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 08-05 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-05 11:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |