rtyhsdd
0x1000c96d6dec9b3e63032d2d2b181ad8723e7bdc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $38.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $983.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.560 | $757.12 | +$405.60 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.180 | $225.90 | −$125.50 |
| XRP Up or Down on January 11? · Down | 0.447 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23? · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.590Pistons vs. Hornets
- +$1.1kat 0.450Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
- +$840.00at 0.580Cavaliers vs. Suns
- +$28.00at 0.700Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$2.78at 0.460Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 07:50 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 03-09 09:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $127.88 |
| 02-28 08:02 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499001 | $899.80 |
| 01-27 06:47 | Cavaliers vs. Suns | BUY | 0.58 | $1.2k |
| 01-23 07:38 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $800.00 |
| 01-23 07:11 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.2k |
| 01-11 09:10 | XRP Up or Down on January 11? | BUY | 0.45 | $900.00 |
| 01-11 09:08 | XRP Up or Down on January 11? | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |
| 12-31 08:45 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.00 |