PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rtyhsdd

0x1000c96d6dec9b3e63032d2d2b181ad8723e7bdc

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$983.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.2600.560$757.12+$405.60
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2800.180$225.90$125.50
XRP Up or Down on January 11? · Down0.4470.000$0.00$2.7k
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23? · Down0.4000.000$0.00$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 07:50Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?SELL0.37$37.00
03-09 09:58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.46$127.88
02-28 08:02Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?BUY0.4499001$899.80
01-27 06:47Cavaliers vs. SunsBUY0.58$1.2k
01-23 07:38Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.4$800.00
01-23 07:11Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.4$1.2k
01-11 09:10XRP Up or Down on January 11?BUY0.45$900.00
01-11 09:08XRP Up or Down on January 11?BUY0.44$440.00
12-31 08:45Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?BUY0.999$86.00