0x0fFe98fBdbC21Fe59F43E163D30cFb1A5f513B56-1769788866233
0x0ffe98fbdbc21fe59f43e163d30cfb1a5f513b56
- Realised P&L
- $1.60
- Volume
- $234.99
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $10.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $10.36 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.968Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.61at 0.969Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.07at 0.997Will "Age of Attraction" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.40 |
| 09-13 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9979999405 | $11.80 |
| 08-19 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $9.80 |
| 08-06 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.70 |
| 07-27 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.70 |
| 07-10 03:00 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $10.30 |
| 06-30 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.60 |
| 06-15 02:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.30 |
| 05-25 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26? | BUY | 0.9979999756 | $18.60 |
| 05-13 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.16 |
| 04-19 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 03-22 13:07 | Will "Age of Attraction" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.80 |
| 03-07 07:16 | Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9684836036 | $21.00 |
| 02-28 05:30 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 02-10 14:33 | Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.9689999542 | $19.00 |