Home3
0x0ff4cc350c5d1de54708d07bc4ac1971874f23a6
- Realised P&L
- $0.40
- Volume
- $25.41
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $11.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.982 | 0.988 | $2.62 | +$0.02 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.971 | 0.973 | $2.02 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 10? · No | 0.974 | 1.000 | $1.70 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? · No | 0.967 | 0.988 | $1.34 | +$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.02 |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? · No | 0.966 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $1.13 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.970Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
- +$0.08at 0.972Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
- +$0.03at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.01at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9959992561 | $1.13 |
| 09-16 21:33 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9709999952 | $2.02 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9819999992 | $2.60 |
| 09-16 21:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9669999764 | $1.31 |
| 09-09 08:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9739999894 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.30 |
| 09-09 08:49 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.9659993221 | $1.16 |
| 09-03 16:07 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.9709999966 | $2.89 |
| 09-03 16:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.87 |
| 09-03 16:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999962 | $1.31 |
| 09-03 16:00 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.9689999919 | $2.75 |
| 08-30 09:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.28 |
| 08-30 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.62 |