dd0t0
0x0ff083603e882d94972bddd553eb35988c132588
- Realised P&L
- $23.25
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $92.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.930 | $18.60 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.885 | $17.70 | −$0.10 |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.850 | $17.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.678 | 0.745 | $14.90 | +$1.34 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.550 | $11.00 | +$1.40 |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.435 | $8.70 | +$3.70 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · No | 0.250 | 0.245 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.06at 0.173Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
- +$4.50at 0.590Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
- +$4.27at 0.580Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?
- +$2.92at 0.328Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$1.21at 0.679Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:41 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:09 | Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7499999906 | $20.00 |
| 10-22 11:49 | Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 10-22 11:48 | Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-22 11:46 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-22 10:41 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-22 06:04 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-21 07:56 | Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-19 10:45 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 06:40 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 10-03 06:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 10-03 06:38 | Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-03 05:54 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | SELL | 0.369 | $3.69 |
| 10-03 05:53 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | SELL | 0.366 | $3.66 |
| 10-03 05:53 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |