0x0fe7330d5ff715e6ba5523005990dd38492e8fe4
- Realised P&L
- $-93.28
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $182.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.013 | $68.42 | −$13.77 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.170 | $40.21 | −$57.79 |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.339 | 0.225 | $34.69 | −$17.51 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.745 | $20.49 | −$1.51 |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.044 | $10.59 | −$2.04 |
| Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.135 | $6.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.993 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:10 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 13:10 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:09 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:07 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 01:42 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 01:40 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0198954936 | $10.84 |
| 09-14 01:38 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 01:06 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $31.00 |
| 09-14 01:05 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0170685812 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 00:57 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:43 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0115266175 | $14.36 |
| 09-13 20:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $22.00 |
| 09-13 20:23 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0496554901 | $10.64 |
| 09-13 20:20 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3385945939 | $52.20 |
| 09-13 20:13 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4617143338 | $53.00 |