PenniesDozer
0x0fe50ebcaeb2a5bdbe6a2d65290b4e6fa16891aa
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $206.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,709
- Open portfolio
- $105.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,709
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.16at 0.253Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$198.28at 0.266Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 12?
- +$87.85at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?
- +$87.67at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?
- +$87.01at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.87 | $9.06 |
| 09-18 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.66 |
| 09-18 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0363636364 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7075471658 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7539203926 | $13.83 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7481296757 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0154586385 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.19 |
| 09-17 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.9772605334 | $61.93 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.946155303 | $19.98 |