0x0fe263d2F35811bf2d7b05F79B94e3dB8d2BDb5A-1782824916747
0x0fe263d2f35811bf2d7b05f79b94e3db8d2bdb5a
- Realised P&L
- $-33.98
- Volume
- $516.73
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $4.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.685 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Exact Score: Italy 2 - 0 Türkiye? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.505 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.91at 0.296Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$3.98at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.30at 0.482Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$3.05at 0.502Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?
- +$3.04at 0.625Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 04:26 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 04:26 | Exact Score: Italy 2 - 0 Türkiye? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:24 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:24 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:11 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:11 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:11 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 02:05 | Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 02:05 | Will Malta win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 18:42 | Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:53 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Czechia? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.91 |
| 10-03 17:53 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Czechia? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:38 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Czechia? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:33 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 05:58 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |